加拿大统计局:2024年第四季度经济增长年率2.6%,远高预期!

2025-02-28 渥太华微生活
来源:加拿大都市网

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加拿大统计局周五表示,今年最后一个季度加拿大经济增长超出预期,这主要得益于家庭支出的激增。

该机构表示,第四季度实际国内生产总值按年率计算增长了2.6%。

这远高于路透社在数据公布前调查的经济学家以及加拿大央行的预期,他们都预计实际 GDP 环比年率将增长 1.8%。

周五发布的数据还显示,2024 年第三季度加拿大经济年化增长率为 2.2%,高于最初估计的 1%。

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加拿大统计局称,第四季度家庭支出增长 1.4%,为两年多以来的最快增幅。增长主要源于新卡车、厢式货车和运动型多用途车的购买。

今年最后一个月的零售活动尤为强劲。加拿大统计局表示,12 月份零售贸易增长 2.6%,是自 2021 年 6 月以来的最大增幅。

尽管受到加拿大邮政罢工的影响,运输业 12 月份仍然大幅增长,这要归功于快递业务的激增以及 11 月份铁路和港口罢工的结束导致增长反弹。

该机构表示,第四季度住宅建筑增长速度创三年多以来最快,而商业库存下降抵消了增长。

加拿大统计局表示,上季度人均实际 GDP 增长了 0.2%。按人均计算,加拿大经济在过去七个季度中有五个季度出现萎缩,不过该机构在 2024 年第二季度将结果上调至正值。

加拿大统计局表示,12 月份实际 GDP 增长了 0.2%,其初步估计显示 1 月份经济增长将小幅加速至 0.3%。

最新的 GDP 数据描绘出一幅图景,在加拿大央行为刺激经济增长而采取一系列降息措施后,加拿大经济将在 2025 年稳步增长。

但在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的关税威胁下,这一轨迹面临风险,特朗普对加拿大商品征收高额进口税的最后期限已近。


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